Sha Tin · 2021-12-05
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. INFINITE POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with ULTRA EXPRESS second and ELITE PATCH third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ULTRA EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | INFINITE POWER Wire to wire CP 1.37.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CROSSFORD Closed strongly P/H1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | READY PLAYER ONE TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 2 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 14 | 60.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | GOLD COMET B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 46.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 12 | 125.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B2/TT1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 5 | 10.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | FARSHAD CP- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 50.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 32.4% | 3.08 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | INFINITE POWER | 10.9% | 9.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL | 10.3% | 9.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | READY PLAYER ONE | 7.5% | 13.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | CROSSFORD | 6.4% | 15.61 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 6.3% | 15.77 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 6.0% | 16.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 14 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.61 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | GOLD COMET | 3.7% | 26.84 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 3.0% | 33.20 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.0% | 33.69 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.8% | 35.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | FARSHAD | 1.3% | 74.95 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | GREEN LASER | 0.6% | 168.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 51.5
PLACE
1 14.5
2 22
12 20
QUINELLA
1,12 98
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 42.5
1,12 40.5
2,12 84
FORECAST
12,1 216
TIERCE
12,1,2 963
TRIO
1,2,12 208
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 637
QUARTET
12,1,2,7 11,814
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 29.5
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 585.5
12/12 9,029