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Sha Tin · 2021-12-05

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 INFINITE POWER Wire to wire CP 1.37.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor 7 5.1 3/4
2 0 ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A T Millard 3 2.8 3/4
3 0 ELITE PATCH Closed strongly B/H/TT R Maia · K W Lui 4 6.8 1-1/2
4 0 CROSSFORD Closed strongly P/H1 Z Purton · J Size 13 14.0 2-1/4
5 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON Closed strongly TT V Borges · W Y So 10 13.0 3
6 0 READY PLAYER ONE TT1 A Badel · C S Shum 11 43.0 3
7 0 PARTY EVERYDAY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 14.0 3-1/4
8 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 15.0 3-3/4
9 0 KING'S CAPITAL C Y Ho · D A Hayes 2 17.0 4-1/4
10 0 ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly B2/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 14 60.0 5-1/4
11 0 GOLD COMET B A Hamelin · K H Ting 9 46.0 7-1/4
12 0 GREEN LASER Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris 12 125.0 9-3/4
13 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG B2/TT1 K C Leung · K L Man 5 10.0 12-3/4
14 0 FARSHAD CP- H N Wong · Y S Tsui 6 50.0 12-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. INFINITE POWER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with ULTRA EXPRESS second and ELITE PATCH third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ULTRA EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INFINITE POWER—2. ULTRA EXPRESS+0.75L3. ELITE PATCH+1.5L4. CROSSFORD+2.25L5. SUPER WIN DRAGON+3L6. READY PLAYER ONE+3L7. PARTY EVERYDAY+3.25L8. GAMEPLAYER TIMES+3.75L9. KING'S CAPITAL+4.25L10. ROYAL PRIDE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ULTRA EXPRESS (32.4%) finished 2nd — the winner INFINITE POWER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ULTRA EXPRESS 32.4% 3.08 2
2 0 INFINITE POWER 10.9% 9.19 1
3 0 KING'S CAPITAL 10.3% 9.71 9
4 0 READY PLAYER ONE 7.5% 13.38 6
5 0 CROSSFORD 6.4% 15.61 4
6 0 PARTY EVERYDAY 6.3% 15.77 7
7 0 GAMEPLAYER TIMES 6.0% 16.53 8
8 0 SUPER WIN DRAGON 5.7% 17.61 5
9 0 GOLD COMET 3.7% 26.84 11
10 0 ELITE PATCH 3.0% 33.20 3
11 0 ROYAL PRIDE 3.0% 33.69 10
12 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 2.8% 35.55 13
13 0 FARSHAD 1.3% 74.95 14
14 0 GREEN LASER 0.6% 168.54 12
ULTRA EXPRESSINFINITE POWER — wonKING'S CAPITALREADY PLAYER ONECROSSFORDPARTY EVERYDAYGAMEPLAYER TIMESSUPER WIN DRAGONGOLD COMETELITE PATCHROYAL PRIDESTAR OF YUEN LONGFARSHADGREEN LASER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 51.5

PLACE

1 14.5

2 22

12 20

QUINELLA

1,12 98

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 42.5

1,12 40.5

2,12 84

FORECAST

12,1 216

TIERCE

12,1,2 963

TRIO

1,2,12 208

FIRST 4

1,2,7,12 637

QUARTET

12,1,2,7 11,814

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 29.5

A1 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

12/1 585.5

12/12 9,029