Sha Tin · 2021-12-05
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 33.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT1 R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 4 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SICOMORO Closed strongly H-/P- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 131.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN SR1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 47.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR SR K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly CP- A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 4.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH Led early B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 43.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | GRACYLOVE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SKY FOREVER B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 13 | 3.4 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MAKE IT QUICK B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 12 | 243.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly XB-/H1/TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE IRISHMAN, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with PAKISTAN FRIEND second and RISE BRETHREN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite SKY FOREVER finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY FOREVER | 16.8% | 5.96 | 13 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 12.3% | 8.10 | — |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 10.3% | 9.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GRACYLOVE | 8.9% | 11.23 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP | 8.2% | 12.15 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 6.3% | 15.76 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 5.8% | 17.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.9% | 20.42 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 2.7% | 36.63 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 2.5% | 39.74 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH | 2.2% | 44.76 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SICOMORO | 1.2% | 85.26 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | MAKE IT QUICK | 0.6% | 164.56 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 44
PLACE
1 80
2 18.5
11 56.5
QUINELLA
1,2 671
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 217.5
1,11 766
2,11 147
FORECAST
2,1 1,123
TIERCE
2,1,11 16,085
TRIO
1,2,11 1,999
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 28,348
QUARTET
2,1,11,4 380,847
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,12/1,2,11 215,055
9TH DOUBLE
12/1 295
12/2 340.5
SIX UP
6,12/2,12/2,4/3,12/1,12/1,2 91,403
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
12/12/1 19,960
12/12/2 37,967