Sha Tin · 2021-12-05
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MILLENNIUM FALCON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with PINS PRINCE second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite PINS PRINCE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H 1.22.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | PINS PRINCE Closed strongly H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly CP/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 6.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | BOOMING WELL Closed strongly XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 13 | 189.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STRATHMORETOO L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 12 | 125.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | EASY FORTUNE CP-/B1/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER Closed strongly CP/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 14 | 74.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | UNICORNBABY Led early B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 9.2 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 14.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PINS PRINCE | 26.0% | 3.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 12.5% | 7.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 11.0% | 9.10 | 13 |
| 4 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU | 9.8% | 10.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | UNICORNBABY | 6.7% | 14.93 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 6.2% | 16.00 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 5.8% | 17.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX | 5.3% | 18.97 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.4% | 22.66 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | NOBLE STEED | 4.3% | 23.02 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | EASY FORTUNE | 2.8% | 35.59 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | STRATHMORETOO | 2.6% | 38.75 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | THE MULTIPLIER | 1.8% | 56.59 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | BOOMING WELL | 0.7% | 143.19 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 47
PLACE
2 12.5
7 22.5
12 18
QUINELLA
2,12 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 44
2,12 29
7,12 56
FORECAST
12,2 179
TIERCE
12,2,7 716
TRIO
2,7,12 143
FIRST 4
2,7,12,13 5,454
QUARTET
12,2,7,13 65,685
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/2 60.5
12/12 615.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,14/3,6,12/2,7,12 19,578,738
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,14/3,6,12/Any Combination 109,806