Sha Tin · 2021-12-05
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by 2, with RUN RUN GOOD second and GOLDEN MISSION third. The 3.0 favourite RUN RUN GOOD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN B-/V2 1.08.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | RUN RUN GOOD B/TT1 J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 9 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION B-/P1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT P Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 9.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | THE ELITES TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 4 | 6.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HOLYSHOWCASING B/SR1 L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 7 | 32.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 10 | MASTERWORK K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUN RUN GOOD | 15.9% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | THE ELITES | 13.4% | 7.48 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE | 10.6% | 9.43 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | FOX CHEUNGER | 10.1% | 9.95 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | GENERAL TRUMP | 9.9% | 10.06 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 9.7% | 10.29 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 9.4% | 10.69 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN MISSION | 7.5% | 13.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP | 6.1% | 16.42 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 4.1% | 24.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 3.3% | 30.02 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 379.5
PLACE
4 91
6 14.5
12 33.5
QUINELLA
4,6 815.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 255.5
4,12 559
6,12 67
FORECAST
4,6 1,963
TIERCE
4,6,12 23,862
TRIO
4,6,12 2,269
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 5,072
QUARTET
4,6,12,3 186,510
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/4 4,343.5
6/6,10 136.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 19