Sha Tin · 2021-12-05
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALCARI V- 0.56.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 79.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 14 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 1.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FANTASY B/XB H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 254.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SOLAR WINDS M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 67.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 99.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 125.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 81.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 132.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | ASTRO KING CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 157.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | STRIKING MR C B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 75.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-05 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. ALCARI, ridden by C Wong and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with METRO WARRIOR second and CORDYCEPS SIX third. The 1.8 favourite SUPER FORTUNE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER FORTUNE | 31.3% | 3.20 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 22.3% | 4.48 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | METRO WARRIOR | 13.9% | 7.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 12.8% | 7.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | PROSECCO | 3.3% | 30.64 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 3.2% | 31.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.4% | 41.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ALCARI | 2.4% | 41.46 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.2% | 45.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SOLAR WINDS | 2.1% | 47.16 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | STRIKING MR C | 1.8% | 56.57 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 1.2% | 82.74 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | FANTASY | 0.8% | 129.91 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | ASTRO KING | 0.5% | 207.56 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 797
PLACE
2 13.5
3 21
12 92
QUINELLA
3,12 2,309.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49
2,12 241
3,12 443.5
FORECAST
12,3 5,999
TIERCE
12,3,2 24,420
TRIO
2,3,12 1,969
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 511
QUARTET
12,3,2,11 35,325
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 112.5
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 92
4/12 4,467.5