沙田 · 2021-12-05
第 8場
2021-12-05沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALCARI勝出，贏出1/2。METRO WARRIOR獲得亞軍；CORDYCEPS SIX獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門SUPER FORTUNE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ALCARI V- 0.56.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 7 | 79.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | CORDYCEPS SIX B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 14 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER FORTUNE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 1.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | FANTASY B/XB H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 254.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SOLAR WINDS M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 67.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 99.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 125.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PROSECCO A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 81.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 132.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | ASTRO KING CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 157.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | STRIKING MR C B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 75.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPER FORTUNE | 31.3% | 3.20 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 22.3% | 4.48 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 13.9% | 7.21 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 12.8% | 7.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | PROSECCO | 3.3% | 30.64 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | KILLER INSTINCT | 3.2% | 31.62 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.4% | 41.41 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | ALCARI | 2.4% | 41.46 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.2% | 45.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | SOLAR WINDS | 2.1% | 47.16 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | STRIKING MR C | 1.8% | 56.57 | 14 |
| 12 | 5 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 1.2% | 82.74 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | FANTASY | 0.8% | 129.91 | 6 |
| 14 | 7 | ASTRO KING | 0.5% | 207.56 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 797
PLACE
2 13.5
3 21
12 92
QUINELLA
3,12 2,309.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49
2,12 241
3,12 443.5
FORECAST
12,3 5,999
TIERCE
12,3,2 24,420
TRIO
2,3,12 1,969
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 511
QUARTET
12,3,2,11 35,325
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 112.5
A1 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/3 92
4/12 4,467.5