沙田 · 2021-12-18 · 17:48
第 10場
2021-12-18沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SOULMATE勝出，贏出1-1/2。GOLDEN LINK獲得亞軍；XIANG YIN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOULMATE 一路領先 1.35.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 9 | 2.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | GOLDEN LINK 後段發力 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 5 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | XIANG YIN 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN 後段發力 C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 14 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER TEN CP/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 7 | 80.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT 後段發力 TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | KYRUS UNICORN SR M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | CROSSFORD 後段發力 H/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 8.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | CRAIG'S STAR B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HELENE NORTH STAR TT1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 3 | 37.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | GREEN LASER SR/TT H T Mo · D E Ferraris | H T Mo | D E Ferraris | 11 | 176.0 | 16-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | XIANG YIN | 30.7% | 3.26 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | SOULMATE | 24.2% | 4.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER TEN | 8.3% | 12.05 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN | 8.0% | 12.53 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | CROSSFORD | 5.0% | 19.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 13 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.6% | 21.90 | 13 |
| 7 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT | 4.0% | 25.29 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.7% | 26.81 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | CRAIG'S STAR | 3.7% | 27.31 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.6% | 39.06 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | HELENE NORTH STAR | 2.2% | 46.12 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.8% | 55.41 | 10 |
| 13 | 11 | GREEN LASER | 0.7% | 144.24 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 0.7% | 151.13 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 25
PLACE
7 14
8 20.5
12 70
QUINELLA
7,12 435.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 37
7,12 147
8,12 249
FORECAST
7,12 669
TIERCE
7,12,8 3,751
TRIO
7,8,12 739
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 1,436
QUARTET
7,12,8,2 27,839
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/7,8,12 158,437
9TH DOUBLE
6/7 41
6/12 150
SIX UP
4,10/3,8/3,9,12/6,10/6,11/7,12 10,094
10/3/3/10/6/7 1,015,838
6 [K C Leung] —
TREBLE
10/6/7 830
10/6/12 1,519