沙田 · 2021-12-18 · 14:36
第 4場
2021-12-18沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、C H Yip訓練的FLYING DRAGON勝出，贏出3/4。TRADER獲得亞軍；EVERYONE'S VICTORY獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門WHIZZ KID跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON 1.08.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 8.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TRADER TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DESTIN B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | STEEL WIN C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 1 | 7.2 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | AQUILA XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 37.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | BINGO BINGO B/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 9.8 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HUNKY DORY B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 74.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 23.9% | 4.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON | 19.7% | 5.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 14.9% | 6.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | STEEL WIN | 11.9% | 8.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TRADER | 11.4% | 8.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | BINGO BINGO | 4.5% | 22.10 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 3.2% | 31.60 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.0% | 33.30 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 2.7% | 36.64 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | AQUILA | 2.0% | 49.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | DESTIN | 1.8% | 55.55 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HUNKY DORY | 1.0% | 99.26 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 89
PLACE
1 33.5
4 16
5 30.5
QUINELLA
1,5 274
4,5 126
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 79
1,5 165
4,5 81
FORECAST
5,1 562
5,4 341
TIERCE
5,1,4 2,691
5,4,1 2,386
TRIO
1,4,5 701
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 298
QUARTET
5,1,4,3 5,604
5,4,1,3 5,139
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/1,4,5 185,957
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 59
7/4 20
7/5 664.5