沙田 · 2021-12-18 · 16:38
第 8場
2021-12-18沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、A S Cruz訓練的IMA SINGLE MAN勝出，贏出SH。CIRCUIT THREE獲得亞軍；SHINING GEM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.8倍大熱門BLAZE WARRIOR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | IMA SINGLE MAN 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.21.49 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.8 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | CIRCUIT THREE 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 131.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | SHINING GEM 後段發力 B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | ROCKET SPADE 後段發力 TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 37.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE 早段領放 B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 13 | 69.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT 後段發力 TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 4 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | BLAZE WARRIOR 後段發力 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 1.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MISTER SNOWDON CP-/SR2/TT1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 5 | 48.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | DECRYPT B/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 3 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RATTAN B C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 11 | 116.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SEATTLE CHOICE A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 119.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 107.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 52.7% | 1.90 | 8 |
| 2 | 14 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 13.4% | 7.45 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 7.4% | 13.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 5.4% | 18.42 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | SHINING GEM | 4.9% | 20.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | MISTER SNOWDON | 2.6% | 38.48 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 2.2% | 45.56 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | ROCKET SPADE | 2.2% | 46.24 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | RATTAN | 1.9% | 52.80 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | HINCHINLOVE | 1.8% | 54.74 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | S J TOURBILLON | 1.7% | 57.75 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 1.5% | 67.95 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | DECRYPT | 1.2% | 81.34 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | CIRCUIT THREE | 1.1% | 89.61 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 58.5
PLACE
6 174
10 18
13 55
QUINELLA
6,10 3,359
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 743.5
6,13 2,245.5
10,13 97.5
FORECAST
10,6 6,508
TIERCE
10,6,13 79,058
TRIO
6,10,13 13,578
FIRST 4
6,10,12,13 68,708
QUARTET
10,6,13,12 1,595,986
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
7TH DOUBLE
3/6 2,411
3/10 1,902