Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 14:36
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FLYING DRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with TRADER second and EVERYONE'S VICTORY third. The 3.0 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON 1.08.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 8.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TRADER TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DESTIN B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | STEEL WIN C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 1 | 7.2 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | AQUILA XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 20.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 37.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | BINGO BINGO B/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 9.8 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HUNKY DORY B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 74.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 23.9% | 4.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON | 19.7% | 5.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 14.9% | 6.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | STEEL WIN | 11.9% | 8.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | TRADER | 11.4% | 8.79 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | BINGO BINGO | 4.5% | 22.10 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 3.2% | 31.60 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.0% | 33.30 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 2.7% | 36.64 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | AQUILA | 2.0% | 49.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | DESTIN | 1.8% | 55.55 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | HUNKY DORY | 1.0% | 99.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 89
PLACE
1 33.5
4 16
5 30.5
QUINELLA
1,5 274
4,5 126
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 79
1,5 165
4,5 81
FORECAST
5,1 562
5,4 341
TIERCE
5,1,4 2,691
5,4,1 2,386
TRIO
1,4,5 701
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 298
QUARTET
5,1,4,3 5,604
5,4,1,3 5,139
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,9/1,4,5 185,957
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 59
7/4 20
7/5 664.5