Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 15:06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 4 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 45.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | VUKAN XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 9.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 131.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ASIAN ONE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 3 | 128.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 6 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE MULTIPLIER Led early CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 5 | 64.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE H K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 69.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ENCHANTING START C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by N, with LEATHER VANGUARD second and RUNNING GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 16.5% | 6.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 16.1% | 6.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 14.6% | 6.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG VICTORY | 11.7% | 8.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | VUKAN | 10.9% | 9.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 7.9% | 12.72 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.0% | 14.22 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 3.3% | 30.01 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | THE MULTIPLIER | 3.3% | 30.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 2.9% | 34.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 2.4% | 41.80 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 1.4% | 71.68 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 1.2% | 82.67 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 0.9% | 116.12 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 32
PLACE
4 101
6 14
10 14
QUINELLA
4,10 695
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 308.5
4,10 232
6,10 24
FORECAST
10,4 1,118
TIERCE
10,4,6 4,408
TRIO
4,6,10 738
FIRST 4
4,6,7,10 1,013
QUARTET
10,4,6,7 28,273
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/4 741.5
5/10 264.5