Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 14:03
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INCREDIBLE Closed strongly TT 1.34.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 3 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | NOBLE MAN V-/B2/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FIGURES TWO Closed strongly J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 13 | 4.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN B-/V2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HEROIC CHAMPION R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 11 | 8.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES Closed strongly B- K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 14 | 51.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JIMMU SR C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 7 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | JOY MASTER B/TT K H Chan · D E Ferraris | K H Chan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 21.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. INCREDIBLE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-3/4, with LIGHT MY DAY second and PAKISTAN ZINDABAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite FIGURES TWO finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FIGURES TWO | 14.0% | 7.15 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 12.3% | 8.11 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 9.9% | 10.06 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 8.6% | 11.58 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | INCREDIBLE | 7.6% | 13.14 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | NOBLE MAN | 7.6% | 13.20 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 7.3% | 13.62 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 6.9% | 14.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 6.7% | 14.96 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | JIMMU | 6.3% | 15.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 5.2% | 19.39 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 4.7% | 21.31 | 3 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.7% | 59.67 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | HEROIC CHAMPION | 1.3% | 79.76 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 61.5
PLACE
5 20
7 26
9 94.5
QUINELLA
5,7 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 73.5
5,9 326.5
7,9 363
FORECAST
7,5 400
TIERCE
7,5,9 10,688
TRIO
5,7,9 1,813
FIRST 4
5,7,9,13 7,004
QUARTET
7,5,9,13 102,530
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 45.5
5/7 414.5
3 PICK 1
A3 19
A1 —
A2 —