Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1-3/4, with ARMOUR EAGLE second and TEAM SPIRIT third. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT 1.09.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 7 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | ARMOUR EAGLE TT1 A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 1 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 34.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SEASONS BLISS B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | THE HULK H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | ENNEA FORTUNE H/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | MIGHTY VALOR CP- V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 3 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 108.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 37.3% | 2.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | SEASONS BLISS | 17.9% | 5.57 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 10.9% | 9.19 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 7.4% | 13.43 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 5.1% | 19.74 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.8% | 26.09 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | WAR OF COURAGE | 3.7% | 27.07 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 3.2% | 31.58 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | MIGHTY VALOR | 1.7% | 59.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | THE HULK | 0.8% | 123.20 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 0.3% | 352.27 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 24.5
PLACE
4 50.5
6 14
11 46.5
QUINELLA
6,11 282.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 91
4,11 501
6,11 116
FORECAST
6,11 361
TIERCE
6,11,4 5,614
TRIO
4,6,11 1,723
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 8,806
QUARTET
6,11,4,10 92,403
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
8TH DOUBLE
10/6 250
10/11 283.5