Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GUNNISON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with MAGIC SUPREME second and ELON third. The 3.8 favourite MAGIC SUPREME finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GUNNISON 1.08.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 19.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 1 | 3.8 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ELON E/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 11 | 48.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HARMONY SPIRIT CP/XB/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 10 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | JAZZ STEED TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 6 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | BIRDSVILLE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING BONUS P2 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 5 | 12.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ELON | 16.8% | 5.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 15.5% | 6.45 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | MAGIC SUPREME | 14.9% | 6.72 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 9.0% | 11.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME | 7.8% | 12.85 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | JAZZ STEED | 6.6% | 15.04 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS | 6.6% | 15.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | MEGA HEART | 6.5% | 15.35 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | GUNNISON | 5.7% | 17.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 4.2% | 23.62 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | FLYING BONUS | 3.7% | 26.92 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | BIRDSVILLE | 2.5% | 39.93 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 194.5
PLACE
3 48
5 26
8 16
QUINELLA
3,8 307.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 133
3,8 110.5
5,8 63
FORECAST
3,8 769
TIERCE
3,8,5 5,257
TRIO
3,5,8 555
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 3,340
3,4,5,8 208
QUARTET
3,8,5,2 82,769
3,8,5,4 6,749
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 23
A1 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/3 442
10/8 22
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,5/4,6,10/Any Combination 19,915