Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CLASSIC MOON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with SMART WONGCHOY second and JOYFUL GENIUS third. The 3.6 favourite WONDERFUL HORSE finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CLASSIC MOON 1.10.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 81.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART WONGCHOY CP/H C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 2 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 3 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SALUTATION B- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | FIRE BALL TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 9.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | BLAZING SUN H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 5 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 5.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | WONDERFUL HORSE J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | VAMOS M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 18.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WONDERFUL HORSE | 25.2% | 3.96 | 11 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 14.3% | 6.98 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | SMART WONGCHOY | 10.2% | 9.82 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FIRE BALL | 9.8% | 10.19 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 8.8% | 11.41 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 8.4% | 11.86 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | BLAZING SUN | 6.8% | 14.69 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | CLASSIC MOON | 3.3% | 30.48 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | SALUTATION | 2.6% | 39.16 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | VAMOS | 1.7% | 57.52 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 1.7% | 59.46 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 810
PLACE
3 170.5
8 36
11 15
QUINELLA
3,11 1,770
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 1,165
3,11 566
8,11 94.5
FORECAST
3,11 3,865
TIERCE
3,11,8 52,863
TRIO
3,8,11 6,510
FIRST 4
3,8,11,12 10,287
QUARTET
3,11,8,12 304,550
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31