Sha Tin · 2021-12-18 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EZRA Closed strongly B 1.34.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 13 | 21.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B2 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY Led early CP H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 2 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG BROOK Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 71.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA B- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FASTER B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 111.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CHATER PINS A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-18 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. EZRA, ridden by R Maia and trained by A T Millard, won by N, with DARCI JOY second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite DARCI JOY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 21.2% | 4.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 15.5% | 6.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 13.8% | 7.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 13.5% | 7.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 8.5% | 11.72 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 4.9% | 20.58 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA | 4.5% | 22.07 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | NEW FUTURE | 4.0% | 24.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BROOK | 4.0% | 24.81 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | EZRA | 3.9% | 25.46 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 3.6% | 27.92 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.1% | 47.51 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | FASTER | 0.5% | 202.36 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 216
PLACE
3 52.5
9 14.5
11 20
QUINELLA
3,9 286.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 100.5
3,11 226
9,11 42
FORECAST
3,9 1,019
TIERCE
3,9,11 7,436
TRIO
3,9,11 674
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 536
QUARTET
3,9,11,1 21,692
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/3,11>9,12 53,533
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/3 3,199
3/9,12 98.5