沙田 · 2022-01-01 · 12:31
第 1場
2022-01-01沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、C W Chang訓練的MISTER MONTE勝出，贏出N。LIGHT MY DAY獲得亞軍；LUCKY MISSILE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門INCREDIBLE跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MISTER MONTE 後段發力 CP 1.49.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 14 | 38.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | LIGHT MY DAY 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 13 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | LUCKY MISSILE 後段發力 CP2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SKY GEM 後段發力 P K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 4 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 後段發力 B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR 後段發力 E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | LEGEND GOES 後段發力 B R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CENTENARY IBIS 早段領放 B/XB/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 11 | 8.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | INCREDIBLE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 4.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | OH BRAVO TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | WONDERFUL FANTASY CP A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 70.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.7 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | RIGHTEOUS WIN V-/B2 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WAH MAY LUCK | 18.7% | 5.36 | 13 |
| 2 | 4 | INCREDIBLE | 17.7% | 5.66 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | SKY GEM | 11.9% | 8.40 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | LIGHT MY DAY | 9.9% | 10.12 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | OH BRAVO | 9.5% | 10.53 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | CENTENARY IBIS | 8.5% | 11.74 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | DAILY CHARM | 6.4% | 15.61 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND STAR | 4.8% | 21.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | RIGHTEOUS WIN | 3.3% | 30.29 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | MISTER MONTE | 2.6% | 39.07 | 1 |
| 11 | 14 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 2.5% | 40.16 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.3% | 42.68 | 3 |
| 13 | 6 | LEGEND GOES | 1.1% | 88.03 | 8 |
| 14 | 3 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 0.9% | 113.28 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 388
PLACE
2 39
9 65.5
10 117
QUINELLA
2,10 2,108.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 350
2,10 588.5
9,10 1,313
FORECAST
10,2 3,459
TIERCE
10,2,9 99,937
TRIO
2,9,10 19,308
FIRST 4
2,5,9,10 28,609
QUARTET
10,2,9,5 836,189
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —