沙田 · 2022-01-09 · 15:12
第 5場
2022-01-09沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的WHIZZ KID勝出，贏出3/4。ORIENTAL SMOKE獲得亞軍；HAPPY GOOD GUYS獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門ORIENTAL SMOKE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WHIZZ KID B/TT 0.56.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B2/TT- K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 2 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | BEAUTY CHEERS V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE L Ferraris · P O'Sullivan | L Ferraris | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 125.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 14 | 33.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 31.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | FORTUNE MASTER B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 6 | 55.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | HAPPY FOREVER XB1 R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 11 | 56.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 10.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WHIZZ KID | 31.1% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | NOBLE DESIRE | 8.0% | 12.55 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 7.8% | 12.86 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 7.4% | 13.58 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 7.3% | 13.70 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 5.7% | 17.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 5.5% | 18.04 | 14 |
| 9 | 9 | MEDIC ELITE | 4.6% | 21.87 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 4.4% | 22.68 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 3.6% | 27.96 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | FORTUNE MASTER | 3.0% | 32.85 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | HAPPY FOREVER | 2.7% | 36.66 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | FORTUNE HERO | 2.6% | 37.87 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 30.5
PLACE
2 15
4 82
10 13.5
QUINELLA
2,10 58.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 189.5
2,10 28.5
4,10 185.5
FORECAST
2,10 102
TIERCE
2,10,4 2,927
TRIO
2,4,10 734
FIRST 4
2,4,10,13 6,553
QUARTET
2,10,4,13 62,630
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/2 610
9/10 144