沙田 · 2022-01-09 · 14:41
第 4場
2022-01-09沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUPER KIN勝出，贏出N。DRAGON PRIDE獲得亞軍；DIVINE ERA獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.7倍大熱門BRAVE POWER跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER KIN 一路領先 TT 1.23.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | DRAGON PRIDE 後段發力 M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 5 | DIVINE ERA TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | AEROSONIC 後段發力 PC/H1/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 13 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DESTIN 後段發力 B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | SMILING FACE SR/TT H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER FLAMES 後段發力 H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 5 | 71.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | SEA MONARCH H-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN V/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 7.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | INGENIOUS FELLOW PC/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 3 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 8 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRAVE POWER | 24.1% | 4.15 | 13 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER KIN | 9.9% | 10.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | DIVINE ERA | 7.8% | 12.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | SMILING FACE | 7.1% | 14.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | DRAGON PRIDE | 6.8% | 14.77 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | DESTIN | 5.7% | 17.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 5.5% | 18.07 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 3.1% | 31.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | AEROSONIC | 1.9% | 52.63 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | SEA MONARCH | 1.9% | 52.69 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.3% | 77.61 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 139
PLACE
5 34
9 44.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
9,10 337
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 262
5,10 108.5
9,10 123.5
FORECAST
9,10 967
TIERCE
9,10,5 12,794
TRIO
5,9,10 1,469
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 20,041
QUARTET
9,10,5,12 616,750
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/5,9,10 17,588
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/9 1,484
2/10 99.5