沙田 · 2022-01-09 · 16:43
第 8場
2022-01-09沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的RUNNING GLORY勝出，贏出3-1/4。LIFELINE VISION獲得亞軍；SUPER MISSION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門GOOD RUNNER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY 後段發力 1.21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 B- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER MISSION 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD RUNNER 後段發力 XB C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 2 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | VUKAN 後段發力 XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE 早段領放 K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 13 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 10 | 60.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | ISLAND SURPRISE H- H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 247.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | A A AGILITY 後段發力 B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 320.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | GO FOR TEA H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 68.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | FIRE BALL TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 70.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY | 24.5% | 4.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GOOD RUNNER | 21.9% | 4.56 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | VUKAN | 14.0% | 7.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER MISSION | 10.6% | 9.41 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.7% | 17.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | GO FOR TEA | 5.4% | 18.39 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | FIRE BALL | 3.5% | 28.67 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.2% | 30.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION | 2.9% | 34.86 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | LADY FIRST | 2.7% | 37.12 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 2.4% | 40.85 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 1.6% | 62.27 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | A A AGILITY | 1.0% | 96.73 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.5% | 221.83 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 35.5
PLACE
1 61.5
5 20
6 15
QUINELLA
1,6 516.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 264.5
1,6 146
5,6 41.5
FORECAST
6,1 708
TIERCE
6,1,5 4,332
TRIO
1,5,6 858
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 390
QUARTET
6,1,5,3 11,057
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 267
5/6 222