Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 16:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3-1/4, with LIFELINE VISION second and SUPER MISSION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite GOOD RUNNER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.21.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly B- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 5 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER MISSION Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD RUNNER Closed strongly XB C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 2 | 2.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | VUKAN Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE Led early K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 13 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 10 | 60.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | ISLAND SURPRISE H- H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 247.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | A A AGILITY Closed strongly B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 320.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | GO FOR TEA H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 68.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | FIRE BALL TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 49.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | NAMJONG CORTEZ B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 70.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUNNING GLORY | 24.5% | 4.08 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GOOD RUNNER | 21.9% | 4.56 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | VUKAN | 14.0% | 7.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER MISSION | 10.6% | 9.41 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.7% | 17.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | GO FOR TEA | 5.4% | 18.39 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | FIRE BALL | 3.5% | 28.67 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.2% | 30.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | LIFELINE VISION | 2.9% | 34.86 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | LADY FIRST | 2.7% | 37.12 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 2.4% | 40.85 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | NAMJONG CORTEZ | 1.6% | 62.27 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | A A AGILITY | 1.0% | 96.73 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 0.5% | 221.83 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 35.5
PLACE
1 61.5
5 20
6 15
QUINELLA
1,6 516.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 264.5
1,6 146
5,6 41.5
FORECAST
6,1 708
TIERCE
6,1,5 4,332
TRIO
1,5,6 858
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 390
QUARTET
6,1,5,3 11,057
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 267
5/6 222