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Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 17:53

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E/B1 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size 4 79.0 N
2 0 PARTERRE Closed strongly J Moreira · A T Millard 8 2.1 N
3 0 GOLDEN LINK K Teetan · P F Yiu 7 8.9 1-3/4
4 0 PRIVATE ROCKET Closed strongly CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 7.8 1-3/4
5 0 CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B H Bentley · K H Ting 13 17.0 2
6 0 YO BEAUTY Closed strongly CP/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 2 6.0 2-3/4
7 0 KASI FARASI TT K H Chan · C H Yip 5 18.0 3
8 0 THE HULK Closed strongly M L Yeung · C Fownes 11 81.0 3-3/4
9 0 BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly V Borges · J Size 12 70.0 4
10 0 CLASSIC POSH L Ferraris · D J Hall 9 101.0 4-1/4
11 0 MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor 10 46.0 4-1/2
12 0 BEAUTY CHAMP Led early TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 1 7.5 4-3/4
13 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN CP1 C Y Ho · F C Lor 3 40.0 5

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HEZA BEAUTY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by N, with PARTERRE second and GOLDEN LINK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite PARTERRE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HEZA BEAUTY—2. PARTERRE+0.05L3. GOLDEN LINK+1.75L4. PRIVATE ROCKET+1.75L5. CRAIG'S STAR+2L6. YO BEAUTY+2.75L7. KASI FARASI+3L8. THE HULK+3.75L9. BEAUTY NOVA+4L10. CLASSIC POSH+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick PARTERRE (26.2%) finished 2nd — the winner HEZA BEAUTY was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTERRE 26.2% 3.82 2
2 0 BEAUTY CHAMP 24.7% 4.05 12
3 0 YO BEAUTY 10.6% 9.42 6
4 0 PRIVATE ROCKET 8.0% 12.48 4
5 0 KASI FARASI 5.2% 19.11 7
6 0 GOLDEN LINK 4.9% 20.49 3
7 0 MONEY CATCHER 4.3% 23.06 11
8 0 HURRY HURRY GAIN 4.3% 23.14 13
9 0 CRAIG'S STAR 3.5% 28.77 5
10 0 BEAUTY NOVA 2.6% 37.79 9
11 0 HEZA BEAUTY 2.5% 40.07 1
12 0 CLASSIC POSH 1.7% 58.68 10
13 0 THE HULK 1.4% 70.45 8
PARTERREBEAUTY CHAMPYO BEAUTYPRIVATE ROCKETKASI FARASIGOLDEN LINKMONEY CATCHERHURRY HURRY GAINCRAIG'S STARBEAUTY NOVAHEZA BEAUTY — wonCLASSIC POSHTHE HULK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 790

PLACE

4 27.5

8 153

10 12.5

QUINELLA

8,10 795

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 756.5

4,10 42.5

8,10 265.5

FORECAST

8,10 2,265

TIERCE

8,10,4 17,092

TRIO

4,8,10 1,795

FIRST 4

2,4,8,10 1,745

QUARTET

8,10,4,2 69,005

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 48.5

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,13/4,8,10 153,035

9TH DOUBLE

5/8 3,856.5

5/10 36.5

SIX UP

2,10/10,12/2,5/1,6/1,5/8,10 2,799

2/12/5/6/5/8 3,073,776

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

6/5/8 17,119

6/5/10 99