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Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/2, with GOOD BUDDY second and CHIU CHOW BROTHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.0 favourite GOOD BUDDY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.22.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho 13 6.3 1-1/2
2 1 GOOD BUDDY Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall 2 5.0 1-1/2
3 13 CHIU CHOW BROTHER B M Chadwick · T P Yung 5 15.0 1-3/4
4 6 SOLAR PARTNER Led early H Bentley · P F Yiu 9 5.2 2
5 11 HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte 4 7.0 3-3/4
6 10 SALUTATION Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 3 10.0 4
7 2 DANDY YEARS B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 11 9.5 4-3/4
8 8 THE MULTIPLIER Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes 8 115.0 6
9 14 BOOMING WELL XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip 6 13.0 7
10 12 MOONLUCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 14.0 7
11 4 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 12 38.0 9
12 7 HUNKY DORY B R Maia · R Gibson 10 159.0 12
13 3 GREEN ENVY V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 1 35.0 13-3/4
14 9 WINS ALL TT M F Poon · W Y So 14 20.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY DAILY2. GOOD BUDDY+1.5L3. CHIU CHOW BROTHER+1.75L4. SOLAR PARTNER+2L5. HK DRAGON+3.75L6. SALUTATION+4L7. DANDY YEARS+4.75L8. THE MULTIPLIER+6L9. BOOMING WELL+7L10. MOONLUCK+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOOD BUDDY (20.6%) finished 2nd — the winner HAPPY DAILY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GOOD BUDDY 20.6% 4.85 2
2 5 HAPPY DAILY 15.3% 6.55 1
3 10 SALUTATION 9.6% 10.40 6
4 9 WINS ALL 9.1% 11.01 14
5 2 DANDY YEARS 8.0% 12.48 7
6 11 HK DRAGON 7.7% 13.05 5
7 6 SOLAR PARTNER 6.6% 15.12 4
8 3 GREEN ENVY 6.3% 15.88 13
9 12 MOONLUCK 5.7% 17.65 10
10 13 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 4.7% 21.12 3
11 14 BOOMING WELL 2.1% 48.46 9
12 4 FANTASTIC SHOW 2.1% 48.56 11
13 8 THE MULTIPLIER 1.7% 60.28 8
14 7 HUNKY DORY 0.6% 155.73 12
GOOD BUDDYHAPPY DAILY — wonSALUTATIONWINS ALLDANDY YEARSHK DRAGONSOLAR PARTNERGREEN ENVYMOONLUCKCHIU CHOW BROTHERBOOMING WELLFANTASTIC SHOWTHE MULTIPLIERHUNKY DORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 63.5

PLACE

1 17.5

5 24

13 46

QUINELLA

1,5 204.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 77

1,13 183

5,13 153.5

FORECAST

5,1 467

TIERCE

5,1,13 5,417

TRIO

1,5,13 1,095

FIRST 4

1,5,6,13 1,361

QUARTET

5,1,13,6 33,476

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 23.5

A3

A1

8TH DOUBLE

6/1 26.5

6/5 296.5