Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TAKINGUFURTHER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K H Ting, won by 1, with GOLDEN MISSION second and XIANG LAN QI third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER V 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION P-/B2 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | XIANG LAN QI B-/V1/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | ALLOY STAR B K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE P-/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | TOWARDS SUCCESS H-/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 68.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 5.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | EVER JOY CP-/XB-/BO1 L Ferraris · P O'Sullivan | L Ferraris | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | TRONIC MIGHTY B-/XB- J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | GARLIC HERO E/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 9.4 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE H2/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 28.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FULL SAILING B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 24.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RAGING BLAZE | 27.2% | 3.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 13.5% | 7.43 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | TELECOM MISSILE | 13.4% | 7.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | GOLDEN MISSION | 11.3% | 8.82 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 6.9% | 14.40 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | ALLOY STAR | 6.1% | 16.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | GARLIC HERO | 5.8% | 17.15 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | XIANG LAN QI | 4.4% | 22.57 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE | 3.4% | 29.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | FULL SAILING | 3.4% | 29.59 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | EVER JOY | 2.6% | 38.05 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 1.8% | 55.29 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 35
PLACE
3 15.5
10 18.5
11 62.5
QUINELLA
3,10 103.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 42.5
3,11 142
10,11 166
FORECAST
3,10 179
TIERCE
3,10,11 2,449
TRIO
3,10,11 582
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 1,481
QUARTET
3,10,11,8 22,120
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21
A1 —