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Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 16:11

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BELUGA Closed strongly H 1.35.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D J Hall 3 5.2 1-1/4
2 0 IMA SINGLE MAN Led early B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 8 11.0 1-1/4
3 0 THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 4.4 2
4 0 MASTER DELIGHT J Moreira · J Size 7 2.1 2-1/4
5 0 MASTER MONTARO CP C L Chau · D A Hayes 5 13.0 2-3/4
6 0 E STAR TT1 K Teetan · K L Man 1 28.0 2-3/4
7 0 CONQUEROR B/TT1 V Borges · D A Hayes 2 19.0 2-3/4
8 0 ROCKET SPADE TT K C Leung · C Fownes 6 13.0 5
9 0 S J TOURBILLON B1 H Bentley · P F Yiu 4 140.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BELUGA, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with IMA SINGLE MAN second and THE IRISHMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite MASTER DELIGHT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BELUGA—2. IMA SINGLE MAN+1.25L3. THE IRISHMAN+2L4. MASTER DELIGHT+2.25L5. MASTER MONTARO+2.75L6. E STAR+2.75L7. CONQUEROR+2.75L8. ROCKET SPADE+5L9. S J TOURBILLON+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MASTER DELIGHT (43.5%) finished 4th — the winner BELUGA was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MASTER DELIGHT 43.5% 2.30 4
2 0 BELUGA 12.1% 8.24 1
3 0 IMA SINGLE MAN 11.1% 9.00 2
4 0 THE IRISHMAN 8.7% 11.48 3
5 0 E STAR 8.2% 12.14 6
6 0 MASTER MONTARO 7.4% 13.43 5
7 0 ROCKET SPADE 5.6% 17.83 8
8 0 CONQUEROR 2.8% 35.77 7
9 0 S J TOURBILLON 0.5% 202.77 9
MASTER DELIGHTBELUGA — wonIMA SINGLE MANTHE IRISHMANE STARMASTER MONTAROROCKET SPADECONQUERORS J TOURBILLON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 52

PLACE

2 26

5 15

9 17

QUINELLA

2,5 217

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 58.5

2,9 60.5

5,9 35

FORECAST

5,2 408

TIERCE

5,2,9 1,547

TRIO

2,5,9 274

FIRST 4

2,4,5,9 79

QUARTET

5,2,9,4 3,100

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,10,12/2,5,9 10,867

3 PICK 1

A1 15.5

A2 —

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

12/2 154

12/5 340