Sha Tin · 2022-01-09 · 14:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER KIN Wire to wire TT 1.23.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | DIVINE ERA TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | AEROSONIC Closed strongly PC/H1/TT2 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 86.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 13 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DESTIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING FACE SR/TT H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES Closed strongly H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 5 | 71.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SEA MONARCH H-/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN V/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 7.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW PC/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 3 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BRAVE POWER B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 8 | 49.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-09 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER KIN, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with DRAGON PRIDE second and DIVINE ERA third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite BRAVE POWER finished 13th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 24.1% | 4.15 | 13 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 9.9% | 10.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 9.7% | 10.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 8.8% | 11.34 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DIVINE ERA | 7.8% | 12.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 7.1% | 14.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 6.8% | 14.77 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 6.4% | 15.61 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | DESTIN | 5.7% | 17.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 5.5% | 18.07 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 3.1% | 31.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AEROSONIC | 1.9% | 52.63 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 1.9% | 52.69 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.3% | 77.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 139
PLACE
5 34
9 44.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
9,10 337
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 262
5,10 108.5
9,10 123.5
FORECAST
9,10 967
TIERCE
9,10,5 12,794
TRIO
5,9,10 1,469
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 20,041
QUARTET
9,10,5,12 616,750
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/5,9,10 17,588
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 21.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/9 1,484
2/10 99.5