沙田 · 2022-01-09 · 15:42
第 6場
2022-01-09沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的AUGUST MOON勝出，贏出1-1/4。SMART WONGCHOY獲得亞軍；CAPTAIN LONG獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門PINS PRINCE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AUGUST MOON BO 1.09.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | SMART WONGCHOY CP/H C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CAPTAIN LONG K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SMART LEADER B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 2.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | SHINY TWO V1/TT1 L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 159.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MAKE IT QUICK B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 111.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | INFINITY WIN B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PAINTER K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | TURBO POWER K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 10 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | BELL OF VICTORY H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 111.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 4 | 55.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PINS PRINCE | 37.1% | 2.70 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | AUGUST MOON | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | CAPTAIN LONG | 11.6% | 8.59 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | INFINITY WIN | 9.8% | 10.16 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | TURBO POWER | 8.4% | 11.89 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART WONGCHOY | 6.7% | 14.98 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | PAINTER | 5.3% | 18.83 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | SMART LEADER | 3.0% | 33.11 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | BELL OF VICTORY | 2.4% | 42.38 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.6% | 62.68 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | MAKE IT QUICK | 0.6% | 165.41 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | SHINY TWO | 0.4% | 253.45 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 106
PLACE
6 15
10 16
12 29
QUINELLA
10,12 240
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 38
6,12 70
10,12 70.5
FORECAST
12,10 540
TIERCE
12,10,6 2,648
TRIO
6,10,12 280
FIRST 4
6,8,10,12 920
QUARTET
12,10,6,8 24,837
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/10 31
2/12 513.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,9,10/2,4,10/6,10,12 1,445,718
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,9,10/2,4,10/Any Combination 13,952