跑馬地 · 2022-02-06 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-02-06跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的LIGHTNING STORM勝出，贏出3。PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT PEERS獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIGHTNING STORM TT 0.57.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.1 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | PACKING CHAMPION H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 66.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TIME B-/TT D Moor · C H Yip | D Moor | C H Yip | 5 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED B1/TT1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | NOIR RIDER B K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 108.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | HANDSOME GUYS B- L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 11 | 111.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 9 | 68.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIGHTNING STORM | 36.0% | 2.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | KA YING SPIRIT | 17.5% | 5.71 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 13.4% | 7.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 11.8% | 8.47 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TIME | 4.3% | 23.01 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 3.8% | 26.58 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | NOIR RIDER | 3.7% | 27.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | NORDIC COMBINED | 3.1% | 31.82 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.8% | 35.94 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | PACKING CHAMPION | 1.5% | 65.87 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 1.4% | 71.79 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | HANDSOME GUYS | 0.7% | 151.78 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 34
PLACE
3 13
4 15
6 13
QUINELLA
3,6 41.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 32.5
3,6 20.5
4,6 27
FORECAST
3,6 95
TIERCE
3,6,4 269
TRIO
3,4,6 52
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 40
QUARTET
3,6,4,1 700
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,11/3,4,6 1,498
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/3 127
5/6 16