跑馬地 · 2022-02-06 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-02-06跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C S Shum訓練的GRATEFUL HEART勝出，贏出N。VOYAGE WARRIOR獲得亞軍；NERVOUS WITNESS獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門NERVOUS WITNESS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT 0.56.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 83.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 12 | NERVOUS WITNESS K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 12 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CARROLL STREET B/TT C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | HONG KONG WIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 43.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 7.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN B-/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT D Moor · A T Millard | D Moor | A T Millard | 2 | 162.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 11 | 118.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 32.2% | 3.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH | 16.7% | 6.00 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | CARROLL STREET | 15.9% | 6.30 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 8.7% | 11.46 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HANDSOME BO BO | 5.4% | 18.65 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM | 5.2% | 19.39 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 4.2% | 23.68 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 3.1% | 32.49 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | HONG KONG WIN | 2.7% | 36.73 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 2.4% | 42.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 1.8% | 55.82 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | GRATEFUL HEART | 1.8% | 56.37 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 837
PLACE
1 25.5
5 147
12 12
QUINELLA
1,5 2,474.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 577.5
1,12 39
5,12 232
FORECAST
5,1 8,045
TIERCE
5,1,12 22,574
TRIO
1,5,12 1,075
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 3,084
QUARTET
5,1,12,10 162,823
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 42.5
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 32
4/5 2,175.5