跑馬地 · 2022-02-06 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-02-06跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GALLANT WAKING勝出，贏出1-1/2。COMMON ROOM獲得亞軍；SIGHT HERO獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門SIGHT HERO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING 1.10.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | COMMON ROOM TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 1 | 108.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT HERO B/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BABY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR CP-/XB2/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 65.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HARRIER JET B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | JADE THEATRE H M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | EVER FORCE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIGHT HERO | 32.2% | 3.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND | 13.2% | 7.58 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | JADE THEATRE | 8.3% | 12.04 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING | 7.9% | 12.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 7.1% | 14.05 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | ARES | 6.5% | 15.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | HARRIER JET | 6.2% | 16.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER FORCE | 5.9% | 16.86 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING | 4.5% | 21.99 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR | 4.5% | 22.43 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | BABY | 2.4% | 42.03 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | COMMON ROOM | 1.3% | 75.40 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 167.5
PLACE
7 12
8 188.5
9 48
QUINELLA
8,9 7,757
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 277
7,9 78.5
8,9 1,793.5
FORECAST
9,8 9,861
TIERCE
9,8,7 35,850
TRIO
7,8,9 4,379
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 12,711
QUARTET
9,8,7,2 563,507
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/8 567
3/9 1,404