Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GALLANT WAKING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with COMMON ROOM second and SIGHT HERO third. The 1.8 favourite SIGHT HERO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING 1.10.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | COMMON ROOM TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 1 | 108.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT HERO B/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | BABY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR CP-/XB2/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 65.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HARRIER JET B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | JADE THEATRE H M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | EVER FORCE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIGHT HERO | 32.2% | 3.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | FIERY DIAMOND | 13.2% | 7.58 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | JADE THEATRE | 8.3% | 12.04 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY GATHERING | 7.9% | 12.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 7.1% | 14.05 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | ARES | 6.5% | 15.47 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | HARRIER JET | 6.2% | 16.14 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER FORCE | 5.9% | 16.86 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING | 4.5% | 21.99 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR | 4.5% | 22.43 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | BABY | 2.4% | 42.03 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | COMMON ROOM | 1.3% | 75.40 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 167.5
PLACE
7 12
8 188.5
9 48
QUINELLA
8,9 7,757
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 277
7,9 78.5
8,9 1,793.5
FORECAST
9,8 9,861
TIERCE
9,8,7 35,850
TRIO
7,8,9 4,379
FIRST 4
2,7,8,9 12,711
QUARTET
9,8,7,2 563,507
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/8 567
3/9 1,404