Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.10.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BINGO BINGO B/TT 1.10.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D Moor · C S Shum 7 15.0 SH
2 0 AWESOME TREASURE TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 2.2 SH
4 0 FARIBAULT XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 12 15.0 1-1/4
5 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 42.0 1-1/4
6 0 PACKING AWARD K Teetan · L Ho 9 14.0 1-3/4
7 0 SAVVY DELIGHT TT A Badel · J Size 6 4.2 2-1/4
8 0 E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man 10 70.0 2-1/2
9 0 CHARMING STEED TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 5 9.9 3
10 0 AMBITIOUS HEART TT K H Chan · T P Yung 8 71.0 3-1/4
11 0 MAN UP CP/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 1 6.8 4-1/2
12 0 HAPPY TANGO B- A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 3 69.0 8
— 0 SURE JOYFUL R Maia · P F Yiu — 106.0 1

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BINGO BINGO, ridden by D Moor and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with AWESOME TREASURE second and FARIBAULT third. The 2.2 favourite AWESOME TREASURE finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BINGO BINGO—2. AWESOME TREASURE+0.1L4. FARIBAULT+1.25L5. VALIANT ELEGANCE+1.25L6. PACKING AWARD+1.75L7. SAVVY DELIGHT+2.25L8. E LEGEND+2.5L9. CHARMING STEED+3L10. AMBITIOUS HEART+3.25L11. MAN UP+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AWESOME TREASURE (25.6%) finished 2nd — the winner BINGO BINGO was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AWESOME TREASURE 25.6% 3.90 2
2 0 CHARMING STEED 17.9% 5.59 9
3 0 PACKING AWARD 14.1% 7.10 6
4 0 SAVVY DELIGHT 10.8% 9.29 7
5 0 BINGO BINGO 5.5% 18.14 1
6 0 FARIBAULT 4.4% 22.79 4
7 0 HAPPY TANGO 4.2% 23.79 12
8 0 VALIANT ELEGANCE 3.8% 26.03 5
9 0 AMBITIOUS HEART 3.8% 26.24 10
10 0 MAN UP 3.6% 27.90 11
11 0 SURE JOYFUL 3.5% 28.74 —
12 0 E LEGEND 2.8% 35.82 8
AWESOME TREASURECHARMING STEEDPACKING AWARDSAVVY DELIGHTBINGO BINGO — wonFARIBAULTHAPPY TANGOVALIANT ELEGANCEAMBITIOUS HEARTMAN UPSURE JOYFULE LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 157.5

PLACE

1 11.5

6 221

8 38

QUINELLA

1,8 155

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 327

1,8 64

6,8 1,480.5

FORECAST

8,1 565

TIERCE

8,1,6 24,340

TRIO

1,6,8 2,690

FIRST 4

1,6,8,11 7,628

QUARTET

8,1,6,11 188,822

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 42.5

5TH DOUBLE

9/1 129.5

9/8 1,969

TRIPLE TRIO

3,4,6/7,8,9/1,6,8 2,619,026

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,4,6/7,8,9/Any Combination 3,376