Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BINGO BINGO, ridden by D Moor and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with AWESOME TREASURE second and SURE JOYFUL third. The 2.2 favourite AWESOME TREASURE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BINGO BINGO B/TT 1.10.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.2 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 11 | 106.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | FARIBAULT XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 42.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PACKING AWARD K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 70.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CHARMING STEED TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | AMBITIOUS HEART TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 8 | 71.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | MAN UP CP/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 6.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO B- A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 69.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 25.6% | 3.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARMING STEED | 17.9% | 5.59 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | PACKING AWARD | 14.1% | 7.10 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 10.8% | 9.29 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | BINGO BINGO | 5.5% | 18.14 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | FARIBAULT | 4.4% | 22.79 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY TANGO | 4.2% | 23.79 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 3.8% | 26.03 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.8% | 26.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | MAN UP | 3.6% | 27.90 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL | 3.5% | 28.74 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | E LEGEND | 2.8% | 35.82 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 157.5
PLACE
1 11.5
6 221
8 38
QUINELLA
1,8 155
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 327
1,8 64
6,8 1,480.5
FORECAST
8,1 565
TIERCE
8,1,6 24,340
TRIO
1,6,8 2,690
FIRST 4
1,6,8,11 7,628
QUARTET
8,1,6,11 188,822
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 42.5
5TH DOUBLE
9/1 129.5
9/8 1,969
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,6/7,8,9/1,6,8 2,619,026
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,6/7,8,9/Any Combination 3,376