Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HIGH RISE SOLDIER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with DECISIVE TWELVE second and WAR OF COURAGE third. The 3.0 favourite SEIZING THE MOMENT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC 1.10.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL B/H H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | STORM WARNINGS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 50.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB TT1 D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 8 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | FAULDS CP1/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 17.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 28.5% | 3.51 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | RUN RUN COOL | 20.0% | 4.99 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 14.3% | 7.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | WAR OF COURAGE | 10.3% | 9.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | FAULDS | 7.0% | 14.35 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB | 6.0% | 16.62 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.0% | 25.19 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.8% | 26.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 3.5% | 28.84 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | STORM WARNINGS | 2.7% | 37.15 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 55.5
PLACE
1 79
7 19.5
8 15
QUINELLA
1,7 757.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 206.5
1,8 190
7,8 43.5
FORECAST
7,1 1,324
TIERCE
7,1,8 6,164
TRIO
1,7,8 1,129
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 430
QUARTET
7,1,8,10 15,133
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 236
3/7 372.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —