Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 14:01
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVA POPCORN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with EEVEE second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT 1.42.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | EEVEE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly CP/SR/XB/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly B-/XB/CP2/H2 A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly H/SR1 A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 51.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SMILING CITY Closed strongly SR/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 5 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | ROYAL AGILITY B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 98.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | CABLE SPEED D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 6 | 115.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | SHADOW BREAKER SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 12.0 | 14 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VIVA POPCORN | 31.3% | 3.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | EEVEE | 12.1% | 8.29 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | EVER LAUGH | 9.4% | 10.63 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 8.7% | 11.51 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | SHADOW BREAKER | 8.5% | 11.74 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.3% | 13.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.96 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 6.3% | 15.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | SMILING CITY | 3.1% | 32.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 2.9% | 34.06 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | CABLE SPEED | 2.1% | 46.86 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.6% | 62.28 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31
PLACE
4 35
5 14
11 15.5
QUINELLA
5,11 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 82
4,11 115
5,11 33.5
FORECAST
5,11 128
TIERCE
5,11,4 1,236
TRIO
4,5,11 321
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 469
QUARTET
5,11,4,2 5,611
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/5 272
7/11 66.5
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —