Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TORONADO PHANTOM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with PRANCE DRAGON second and STAR BRITE third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT 1.10.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | STAR BRITE CP K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING BONUS K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | STOICISM L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SMART IDEA H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 3.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL H1/XB1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 5 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | ANGELS HUNTER L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 35.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 26.3% | 3.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SMART IDEA | 17.2% | 5.82 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | STOICISM | 13.6% | 7.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR BRITE | 12.2% | 8.20 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | PRANCE DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.05 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | HARMONY N HOME | 5.0% | 20.03 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 4.4% | 22.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER DOBBIN | 3.9% | 25.32 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING BONUS | 3.8% | 26.36 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | ANGELS HUNTER | 2.6% | 38.14 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
4 12
6 28
9 20
QUINELLA
4,6 145
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 50
4,9 38
6,9 97
FORECAST
4,6 242
TIERCE
4,6,9 1,199
TRIO
4,6,9 242
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 1,607
QUARTET
4,6,9,1 19,897
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/4,6,9 97,513
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/4 361.5
8/6 254.5