Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DR WINNING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite VIVA HUNTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT 1.40.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | JOLLY HONOUR K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SHINY ONE Closed strongly XB/V1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 6 | 71.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT D Moor · C H Yip | D Moor | C H Yip | 11 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 5 | 6.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | CHATER PINS SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 10 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | RUN THE TABLE H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 37.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DR WINNING | 31.0% | 3.22 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VIVA HUNTER | 12.5% | 8.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | CHATER PINS | 10.6% | 9.44 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 10.4% | 9.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | JOLLY HONOUR | 6.5% | 15.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | RUN THE TABLE | 5.9% | 16.97 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | CHARGE ON | 5.8% | 17.14 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER | 5.2% | 19.17 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 4.7% | 21.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 3.0% | 33.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | FLASH FAMOUS | 2.1% | 46.69 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | SHINY ONE | 2.1% | 47.56 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 55.5
PLACE
2 16
3 17
7 22
QUINELLA
2,3 94
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 40
2,7 65
3,7 63
FORECAST
3,2 250
TIERCE
3,2,7 1,287
TRIO
2,3,7 230
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 1,217
QUARTET
3,2,7,1 22,710
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26.5
A3 —