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Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 13:01

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DR WINNING Closed strongly TT 1.40.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size 2 5.5 1-1/4
2 0 VIVA HUNTER Z Purton · K L Man 12 3.1 1-1/4
3 0 JOLLY HONOUR K C Leung · Y S Tsui 1 9.0 3-3/4
4 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz 4 29.0 4-3/4
5 0 SHINY ONE Closed strongly XB/V1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu 6 71.0 5-1/4
6 0 FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT D Moor · C H Yip 11 74.0 5-1/2
7 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B A Badel · T P Yung 5 6.9 6-1/2
8 0 CHATER PINS SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes 3 5.0 7-1/4
9 0 CHARGE ON Closed strongly B C L Chau · D J Hall 10 14.0 8-1/2
10 0 JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 8 24.0 8-3/4
11 0 REGENCY MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 9 19.0 13-1/2
12 0 RUN THE TABLE H M L Yeung · K W Lui 7 37.0 17-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DR WINNING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite VIVA HUNTER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DR WINNING—2. VIVA HUNTER+1.25L3. JOLLY HONOUR+3.75L4. BEAUTY SPIRIT+4.75L5. SHINY ONE+5.25L6. FLASH FAMOUS+5.5L7. CHIU CHOW BROTHER+6.5L8. CHATER PINS+7.25L9. CHARGE ON+8.5L10. JIANGXI STAMINA+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick DR WINNING (31.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 DR WINNING 31.0% 3.22 1
2 0 VIVA HUNTER 12.5% 8.02 2
3 0 CHATER PINS 10.6% 9.44 8
4 0 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 10.4% 9.60 7
5 0 JOLLY HONOUR 6.5% 15.30 3
6 0 RUN THE TABLE 5.9% 16.97 12
7 0 CHARGE ON 5.8% 17.14 9
8 0 REGENCY MASTER 5.2% 19.17 11
9 0 JIANGXI STAMINA 4.7% 21.16 10
10 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 3.0% 33.00 4
11 0 FLASH FAMOUS 2.1% 46.69 6
12 0 SHINY ONE 2.1% 47.56 5
DR WINNING — wonVIVA HUNTERCHATER PINSCHIU CHOW BROTHERJOLLY HONOURRUN THE TABLECHARGE ONREGENCY MASTERJIANGXI STAMINABEAUTY SPIRITFLASH FAMOUSSHINY ONE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 55.5

PLACE

2 16

3 17

7 22

QUINELLA

2,3 94

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 40

2,7 65

3,7 63

FORECAST

3,2 250

TIERCE

3,2,7 1,287

TRIO

2,3,7 230

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 1,217

QUARTET

3,2,7,1 22,710

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 26.5

A3 —