Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SAVVY KINGMAN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and EXCEPTIONAL NICE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN Wire to wire 1.50.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 1 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | ENSURED Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 4 | 60.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 8.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 7.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 11 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | GOD OF DRAGON B/XB D Moor · D J Whyte | D Moor | D J Whyte | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | HIT THE SHOT B/TT K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 2 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 24.2% | 4.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 11.6% | 8.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | RISE BRETHREN | 10.9% | 9.19 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 9.9% | 10.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 8.7% | 11.48 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 8.5% | 11.79 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | GOD OF DRAGON | 6.6% | 15.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 5.6% | 17.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | HIT THE SHOT | 4.7% | 21.15 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.2% | 23.77 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | STORM LEGEND | 3.6% | 27.74 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ENSURED | 1.5% | 68.37 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 40
PLACE
3 16.5
6 17
8 18
QUINELLA
3,6 85
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 32
3,8 40
6,8 46.5
FORECAST
3,6 167
TIERCE
3,6,8 496
TRIO
3,6,8 117
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 1,405
QUARTET
3,6,8,10 19,045
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/3,6,8 1,370
9TH DOUBLE
11/3 113
11/6 15.5
SIX UP
8,9/1,8/4,6/1,5/1,11/3,6 46,735
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/11/3 22,302
5/11/6 3,005