Happy Valley · 2022-02-06 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-02-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ZONE D, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with SOULMATE second and MALDIVES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.40.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SOULMATE Led early E1 K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | PRESENCE Closed strongly C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 6 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | BLASTOISE L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 2 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 8 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FAST PACE H H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | VICTORY PARK B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 47.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY H1/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 45.0 | 42-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ZONE D | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MALDIVES | 17.8% | 5.61 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | PRESENCE | 12.0% | 8.30 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SMOOTHIES | 8.3% | 11.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | FAST PACE | 7.2% | 13.84 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | SOULMATE | 7.2% | 13.88 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 6.5% | 15.48 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 5.5% | 18.32 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | SURREALISM | 5.2% | 19.08 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | VICTORY PARK | 2.4% | 41.85 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | BLASTOISE | 2.1% | 47.31 | 6 |
| 12 | 2 | DECRYPT | 2.1% | 47.54 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 23.5
PLACE
1 37.5
3 14
11 12
QUINELLA
1,11 228.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 84.5
1,11 80
3,11 19.5
FORECAST
11,1 278
TIERCE
11,1,3 931
TRIO
1,3,11 153
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 192
QUARTET
11,1,3,5 3,888
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 2,256
5/11 2,946.5