跑馬地 · 2022-02-23 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-02-23跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的SCOTCH TYCOON勝出，贏出N。SEE U AGAIN獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。頭馬以4.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON H 0.57.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 4.3 | N |
| 2 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN TT- D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 4 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 52.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT P1/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 114.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BULB PRINCE SR1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 19.9% | 5.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 14.4% | 6.96 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 13.3% | 7.50 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 10.8% | 9.26 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 10.0% | 9.99 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 8.2% | 12.13 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 7.2% | 13.93 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | SEE U AGAIN | 7.0% | 14.26 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER COMMANDER | 5.2% | 19.14 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 1.4% | 70.96 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 1.3% | 74.71 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | BULB PRINCE | 1.2% | 86.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 43
PLACE
1 19
7 40
10 109.5
QUINELLA
1,7 306.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 110
1,10 424.5
7,10 992.5
FORECAST
1,7 542
TIERCE
1,7,10 13,740
TRIO
1,7,10 4,810
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 5,952
QUARTET
1,7,10,3 107,399
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,7,10 1,538,591
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 19.5
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 611.5
3/7 235.5