跑馬地 · 2022-02-23 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-02-23跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的MAJESTIC STAR勝出，贏出3/4。KEEP YOU WARM獲得亞軍；DUKE WAI獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MAJESTIC STAR 1.08.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 8.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | DUKE WAI B/H M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 2 | 9.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | VOYAGE WARRIOR B2 Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR1/XB1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 90.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | CARROLL STREET B/TT D Moor · D J Whyte | D Moor | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 6 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MAJESTIC STAR | 20.4% | 4.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LOVING A BOOM | 14.2% | 7.02 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 12.1% | 8.29 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH | 11.5% | 8.67 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 10.1% | 9.92 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 8.4% | 11.94 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | KEEP YOU WARM | 5.8% | 17.15 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | CARROLL STREET | 5.2% | 19.05 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | DUKE WAI | 4.6% | 21.64 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 4.0% | 25.11 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | MAN STAR | 3.6% | 27.55 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 24
PLACE
2 31.5
8 21.5
11 13
QUINELLA
8,11 91
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 128
2,11 71
8,11 36
FORECAST
11,8 134
TIERCE
11,8,2 1,105
TRIO
2,8,11 404
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 454
QUARTET
11,8,2,9 6,211
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/2,8>6,11 9,449
8TH DOUBLE
2/6,11 185
2/8 49.5
SIX UP
2,3/1,7/6,8/2,5/2,4/6,8,11 3,180
3/1/8/5/2/6,11 398,248
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/2/6,11 845
5/2/8 343