沙田 · 2022-03-27 · 15:41
第 6場
2022-03-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的FUN N GLORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。CALIFORNIA VANES獲得亞軍；NOBLE BOYZ獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門COUNTRY TREASURE跑獲第13名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FUN N GLORY TT 1.10.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES CP-/B1/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | NOBLE BOYZ SR-/B1/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | AUGUST MOON BO M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | BIRDSVILLE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GET THE MONIES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 158.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | FIRE BALL B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | POLARIS WINNER CP1 R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 12 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 7 | 75.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | DAZZLING FELLOW TT1 H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 2 | 86.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | CABLE SPEED P H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 222.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | COUNTRY TREASURE J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.7 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | FELIX THE KING CP M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 264.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COUNTRY TREASURE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 13 |
| 2 | 5 | FUN N GLORY | 21.8% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | NOBLE BOYZ | 14.8% | 6.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | AUGUST MOON | 8.2% | 12.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | BIRDSVILLE | 5.7% | 17.67 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 4.2% | 23.89 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 4.1% | 24.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | POLARIS WINNER | 3.9% | 25.44 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | FIRE BALL | 3.1% | 31.93 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 2.1% | 47.42 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.5% | 65.02 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | GET THE MONIES | 1.3% | 75.94 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | CABLE SPEED | 1.0% | 101.74 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | FELIX THE KING | 0.5% | 200.45 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 43
PLACE
5 14
9 71
14 25.5
QUINELLA
5,9 915.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 167
5,14 54
9,14 351
FORECAST
5,9 1,433
TIERCE
5,9,14 9,319
TRIO
5,9,14 1,994
FIRST 4
5,9,10,14 3,033
QUARTET
5,9,14,10 59,771
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12
5TH DOUBLE
2/5 308.5
2/9 219.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,9/1,2,6/5,9,14 1,998,854
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,9/1,2,6/Any Combination 5,830