沙田 · 2022-03-27 · 17:18
第 9場
2022-03-27沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的MY ECSTATIC勝出，贏出2。MY INTELLIGENT獲得亞軍；ORIENTAL SMOKE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。1.5倍大熱門ORIENTAL SMOKE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC 一路領先 TT 1.22.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | MY INTELLIGENT 後段發力 TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE 後段發力 B/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 1.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION 後段發力 B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 7 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | LADY FIRST 後段發力 CP/H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME TWELVE 後段發力 B- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | KING OF THE COURT 後段發力 CP1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SMILING CITY SR-/V1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 5 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | CASA LEGEND TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 14 | 63.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | PAINTER 後段發力 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | ACCELERANDO 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MEGA BONUS XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.5 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | HAPPY MATADOR B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 60.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 89.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 35.7% | 2.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | ACCELERANDO | 23.0% | 4.35 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | MEGA BONUS | 6.8% | 14.72 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | MY ECSTATIC | 6.8% | 14.76 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.7% | 26.82 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 3.7% | 27.05 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | KING OF THE COURT | 3.5% | 28.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.3% | 30.40 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 3.2% | 31.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | LADY FIRST | 2.8% | 36.11 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SMILING CITY | 2.3% | 43.39 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | PAINTER | 2.1% | 46.54 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | HAPPY MATADOR | 1.8% | 54.25 | 13 |
| 14 | 2 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 1.2% | 85.17 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 174.5
PLACE
1 10.5
4 31.5
14 43.5
QUINELLA
4,14 1,374.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 47.5
1,14 62.5
4,14 273.5
FORECAST
4,14 2,746
TIERCE
4,14,1 6,649
TRIO
1,4,14 458
FIRST 4
1,4,11,14 1,323
QUARTET
4,14,1,11 78,244
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 70
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/4 5,466
7/14 2,114.5