沙田 · 2022-03-27 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-03-27沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、K W Lui訓練的GO GO SIXTEEN勝出，贏出N。DAILY CHARM獲得亞軍；MISSION SMART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門LIGHT MY DAY跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 TT 1.35.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 7 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 2 | DAILY CHARM 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | MISSION SMART B-/CP2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 9.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON 後段發力 B-/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 14 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | DAILY BEAUTY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | LIGHT MY DAY 早段領放 B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 2.4 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 B- L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 12 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | AEROSONIC H/PC/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | JOY MASTER B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SCHOLAR B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 8 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SINCERE BOY M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 94.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE D Moor · K H Ting | D Moor | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LIGHT MY DAY | 28.1% | 3.56 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | DAILY BEAUTY | 25.6% | 3.90 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | DAILY CHARM | 8.5% | 11.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MISSION SMART | 6.9% | 14.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 5.3% | 18.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.5% | 22.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 4.5% | 22.37 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | JOY MASTER | 4.3% | 23.36 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | BRAVE POWER | 3.3% | 30.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SINCERE BOY | 2.5% | 39.81 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | SPLENDID TIMING | 1.8% | 54.21 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | GOLDEN FOUR | 1.8% | 54.34 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | AEROSONIC | 1.6% | 63.41 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | SCHOLAR | 1.2% | 82.42 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 67.5
PLACE
2 30.5
8 25
9 27
QUINELLA
2,8 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 105.5
2,9 116
8,9 89
FORECAST
8,2 745
TIERCE
8,2,9 4,069
TRIO
2,8,9 727
FIRST 4
2,8,9,12 2,984
QUARTET
8,2,9,12 60,812
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 28.5
5/8 172
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A2 —
A3 —