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Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly TT 1.35.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · K W Lui 7 6.7 N
2 0 DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 10 12.0 N
3 0 MISSION SMART B-/CP2 K C Leung · F C Lor 5 9.1 1
4 0 SPEEDY DRAGON Closed strongly B-/TT A Badel · K L Man 11 15.0 1-1/2
5 0 BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 14 16.0 2-1/4
6 0 SPLENDID TIMING B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 4 81.0 2-1/2
7 0 DAILY BEAUTY TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 8.9 2-1/2
8 0 LIGHT MY DAY Led early B/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 3 2.4 4
9 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · C W Chang 12 28.0 4
10 0 AEROSONIC H/PC/XB H T Mo · C W Chang 6 31.0 4
11 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V A Hamelin · P F Yiu 9 21.0 4-1/4
12 0 JOY MASTER B/TT K Teetan · W Y So 13 19.0 5-3/4
13 0 SCHOLAR B/BR/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard 8 26.0 6-1/4
14 0 SINCERE BOY M F Poon · L Ho 1 94.0 7-1/2
— 0 KWAI CHUNG ELITE D Moor · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GO GO SIXTEEN, ridden by B Shinn and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with DAILY CHARM second and MISSION SMART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite LIGHT MY DAY finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GO GO SIXTEEN—2. DAILY CHARM+0.05L3. MISSION SMART+1L4. SPEEDY DRAGON+1.5L5. BRAVE POWER+2.25L6. SPLENDID TIMING+2.5L7. DAILY BEAUTY+2.5L8. LIGHT MY DAY+4L9. GOLDEN FOUR+4L10. AEROSONIC+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LIGHT MY DAY (28.1%) finished 8th — the winner GO GO SIXTEEN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LIGHT MY DAY 28.1% 3.56 8
2 0 DAILY BEAUTY 25.6% 3.90 7
3 0 DAILY CHARM 8.5% 11.71 2
4 0 MISSION SMART 6.9% 14.43 3
5 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 5.3% 18.92 1
6 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.5% 22.29 11
7 0 SPEEDY DRAGON 4.5% 22.37 4
8 0 JOY MASTER 4.3% 23.36 12
9 0 BRAVE POWER 3.3% 30.49 5
10 0 SINCERE BOY 2.5% 39.81 14
11 0 SPLENDID TIMING 1.8% 54.21 6
12 0 GOLDEN FOUR 1.8% 54.34 9
13 0 AEROSONIC 1.6% 63.41 10
14 0 SCHOLAR 1.2% 82.42 13
LIGHT MY DAYDAILY BEAUTYDAILY CHARMMISSION SMARTGO GO SIXTEEN — wonWINWIN THIRTYTHREESPEEDY DRAGONJOY MASTERBRAVE POWERSINCERE BOYSPLENDID TIMINGGOLDEN FOURAEROSONICSCHOLAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 67.5

PLACE

2 30.5

8 25

9 27

QUINELLA

2,8 330.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 105.5

2,9 116

8,9 89

FORECAST

8,2 745

TIERCE

8,2,9 4,069

TRIO

2,8,9 727

FIRST 4

2,8,9,12 2,984

QUARTET

8,2,9,12 60,812

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

5/2 28.5

5/8 172

3 PICK 1

A1 18

A2 —

A3 —