Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 16:43
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by R Maia and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with NATURAL GOLD second and MILLENNIUM FALCON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite INFINITY WIN finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | NATURAL GOLD Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | EVER FORCE Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 56.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | BOOM STITCH Closed strongly CP-/B1 B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 5 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR-/V1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | INFINITY WIN TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | FIERY FLYING H1 K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 1 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 10 | 62.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | AMAZING NEWS XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 87.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | STEEL WIN B2 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 66.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | SALUTATION Led early P-/B2/TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 7.4 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | INFINITY WIN | 22.4% | 4.47 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | SALUTATION | 21.6% | 4.62 | 14 |
| 3 | 1 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 9.2% | 10.83 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | ERNEST FEELING | 8.2% | 12.26 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.8% | 17.28 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | BOOM STITCH | 5.6% | 17.80 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | STEEL WIN | 4.9% | 20.52 | 13 |
| 8 | 12 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 4.8% | 20.90 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | FIERY FLYING | 4.0% | 24.73 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | NATURAL GOLD | 3.8% | 26.44 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | AMAZING NEWS | 2.8% | 36.30 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 2.7% | 37.07 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | BEST FOR YOU | 2.4% | 42.04 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | EVER FORCE | 1.9% | 53.12 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 330
PLACE
1 17
7 75.5
10 33
QUINELLA
7,10 2,018
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 205
1,10 95.5
7,10 501.5
FORECAST
7,10 5,900
TIERCE
7,10,1 23,892
TRIO
1,7,10 2,184
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 6,446
QUARTET
7,10,1,12 162,124
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 42
A1 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/7 1,489.5
5/10 57