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Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B 1.22.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C H Yip 14 33.0 1-1/4
2 0 NATURAL GOLD Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 2 14.0 1-1/4
3 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H H Bentley · T P Yung 3 4.1 2
4 0 SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 4 18.0 2
5 0 EVER FORCE Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui 8 56.0 2
6 0 BOOM STITCH Closed strongly CP-/B1 B Shinn · W Y So 5 3.9 3
7 0 ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Badel · R Gibson 6 23.0 3-1/4
8 0 KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR-/V1 L Ferraris · D J Hall 9 36.0 3-1/4
9 0 INFINITY WIN TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 13 3.7 3-1/2
10 0 FIERY FLYING H1 K C Leung · A T Millard 1 40.0 3-1/2
11 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 10 62.0 3-3/4
12 0 AMAZING NEWS XB M L Yeung · C Fownes 12 87.0 4-1/2
13 0 STEEL WIN B2 M F Poon · C W Chang 7 66.0 14-1/2
14 0 SALUTATION Led early P-/B2/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 11 7.4 15

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by R Maia and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with NATURAL GOLD second and MILLENNIUM FALCON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite INFINITY WIN finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAXIMIZE HEART—2. NATURAL GOLD+1.25L3. MILLENNIUM FALCON+2L4. SWIFT SPIRIT+2L5. EVER FORCE+2L6. BOOM STITCH+3L7. ERNEST FEELING+3.25L8. KYRUS UNICORN+3.25L9. INFINITY WIN+3.5L10. FIERY FLYING+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick INFINITY WIN (22.4%) finished 9th — the winner MAXIMIZE HEART was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 INFINITY WIN 22.4% 4.47 9
2 0 SALUTATION 21.6% 4.62 14
3 0 MILLENNIUM FALCON 9.2% 10.83 3
4 0 ERNEST FEELING 8.2% 12.26 7
5 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 5.8% 17.28 1
6 0 BOOM STITCH 5.6% 17.80 6
7 0 STEEL WIN 4.9% 20.52 13
8 0 SWIFT SPIRIT 4.8% 20.90 4
9 0 FIERY FLYING 4.0% 24.73 10
10 0 NATURAL GOLD 3.8% 26.44 2
11 0 AMAZING NEWS 2.8% 36.30 12
12 0 KYRUS UNICORN 2.7% 37.07 8
13 0 BEST FOR YOU 2.4% 42.04 11
14 0 EVER FORCE 1.9% 53.12 5
INFINITY WINSALUTATIONMILLENNIUM FALCONERNEST FEELINGMAXIMIZE HEART — wonBOOM STITCHSTEEL WINSWIFT SPIRITFIERY FLYINGNATURAL GOLDAMAZING NEWSKYRUS UNICORNBEST FOR YOUEVER FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 330

PLACE

1 17

7 75.5

10 33

QUINELLA

7,10 2,018

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 205

1,10 95.5

7,10 501.5

FORECAST

7,10 5,900

TIERCE

7,10,1 23,892

TRIO

1,7,10 2,184

FIRST 4

1,7,10,12 6,446

QUARTET

7,10,1,12 162,124

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 42

A2 —

A1 —

7TH DOUBLE

5/7 1,489.5

5/10 57