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Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 14:17

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 2.04.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B 2.04.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu 3 3.3 2
2 0 RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man 1 4.5 2
3 0 EEVEE Closed strongly B/TT1 C Y Ho · D A Hayes 10 25.0 2
4 0 LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 2 9.2 2-3/4
5 0 SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 4 19.0 3-1/4
6 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 8 8.6 3-1/2
7 0 SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB C L Chau · A T Millard 11 23.0 3-3/4
8 0 ASIAN ONE B/TT R Maia · A T Millard 12 10.0 3-3/4
9 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung 6 12.0 3-3/4
10 0 TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT V Borges · C H Yip 5 29.0 4
11 0 LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 13 15.0 4-3/4
12 0 SHINY TWO V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 7 24.0 5-1/4
13 0 MISTER MONTE Led early CP H T Mo · C W Chang 9 53.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with RED ELYSEES second and EEVEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROBOT WARRIOR—2. RED ELYSEES+2L3. EEVEE+2L4. LEGION OF MERIT+2.75L5. SUPER ELEGANCE+3.25L6. TURQUOISE ALPHA+3.5L7. SACRED IBIS+3.75L8. ASIAN ONE+3.75L9. PERFECT MARYKNOLL+3.75L10. TELECOM CHEETAH+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROBOT WARRIOR (29.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 29.3% 3.41 1
2 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 12.1% 8.25 6
3 0 LUCKY DIAMOND 9.1% 10.97 11
4 0 RED ELYSEES 8.7% 11.51 2
5 0 ASIAN ONE 6.9% 14.59 8
6 0 LEGION OF MERIT 6.1% 16.53 4
7 0 EEVEE 6.0% 16.76 3
8 0 TELECOM CHEETAH 5.8% 17.32 10
9 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 5.6% 17.74 9
10 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 4.0% 24.92 5
11 0 SACRED IBIS 2.5% 39.73 7
12 0 MISTER MONTE 2.3% 43.55 13
13 0 SHINY TWO 1.7% 60.23 12
ROBOT WARRIOR — wonTURQUOISE ALPHALUCKY DIAMONDRED ELYSEESASIAN ONELEGION OF MERITEEVEETELECOM CHEETAHPERFECT MARYKNOLLSUPER ELEGANCESACRED IBISMISTER MONTESHINY TWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 33

PLACE

4 16

5 17

9 62

QUINELLA

4,5 82

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 36.5

4,9 149.5

5,9 204

FORECAST

4,5 169

TIERCE

4,5,9 2,395

TRIO

4,5,9 576

FIRST 4

4,5,7,9 1,690

QUARTET

4,5,9,7 23,635

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,8/4,5,9 51,794

3 PICK 1

A1 24

A2 —

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE

2/4 167

2/5 73.5