Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 14:17
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with RED ELYSEES second and EEVEE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B 2.04.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 1 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | EEVEE Closed strongly B/TT1 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 9.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 11 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ASIAN ONE B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 12 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 5 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 13 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SHINY TWO V/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | MISTER MONTE Led early CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 53.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 29.3% | 3.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 12.1% | 8.25 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 9.1% | 10.97 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | RED ELYSEES | 8.7% | 11.51 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | ASIAN ONE | 6.9% | 14.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | LEGION OF MERIT | 6.1% | 16.53 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | EEVEE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 5.8% | 17.32 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 5.6% | 17.74 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 4.0% | 24.92 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | SACRED IBIS | 2.5% | 39.73 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | MISTER MONTE | 2.3% | 43.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | SHINY TWO | 1.7% | 60.23 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 33
PLACE
4 16
5 17
9 62
QUINELLA
4,5 82
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 36.5
4,9 149.5
5,9 204
FORECAST
4,5 169
TIERCE
4,5,9 2,395
TRIO
4,5,9 576
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 1,690
QUARTET
4,5,9,7 23,635
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,8/4,5,9 51,794
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 167
2/5 73.5