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Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 16:11

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER DYNAMITE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with SUPER WINNER second and COPARTNER AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 1 4.0 1-3/4
2 2 SUPER WINNER Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip 7 3.6 1-3/4
3 1 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 8 2.7 2-1/2
3 3 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 10.0 2-1/2
5 7 BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly P-/B1 V Borges · J Size 2 48.0 2-3/4
6 9 LUCKY GOLD B/H A Badel · K W Lui 4 36.0 2-3/4
7 6 KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 3 18.0 3
8 8 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 6 10.0 3
9 4 PRESENCE CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 5 29.0 6-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER DYNAMITE2. SUPER WINNER+1.75L3. COPARTNER AMBITION+2.5L3. HORSESAIN BOLT+2.5L5. BEAUTY NOVA+2.75L6. LUCKY GOLD+2.75L7. KA YING EXCELLENT+3L8. HAPPY DAILY+3L9. PRESENCE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick COPARTNER AMBITION (33.0%) finished 3rd — the winner SUPER DYNAMITE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 COPARTNER AMBITION 33.0% 3.03 3
2 5 SUPER DYNAMITE 20.1% 4.96 1
3 3 HORSESAIN BOLT 11.3% 8.85 3
4 2 SUPER WINNER 9.4% 10.62 2
5 6 KA YING EXCELLENT 7.8% 12.87 7
6 8 HAPPY DAILY 5.6% 18.01 8
7 9 LUCKY GOLD 4.4% 22.79 6
8 4 PRESENCE 4.3% 23.03 9
9 7 BEAUTY NOVA 4.1% 24.67 5
COPARTNER AMBITIONSUPER DYNAMITE — wonHORSESAIN BOLTSUPER WINNERKA YING EXCELLENTHAPPY DAILYLUCKY GOLDPRESENCEBEAUTY NOVA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 40

PLACE

1 10.1

2 14.5

3 13

5 14

QUINELLA

2,5 79.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 10.5

1,3 20.5

1,5 10.5

2,3 21.5

2,5 29

3,5 22.5

FORECAST

5,2 178

TIERCE

5,2,1 267

5,2,3 475

TRIO

1,2,5 37

2,3,5 113

FIRST 4

1,2,3,5 78

QUARTET

5,2,1,3 997

5,2,3,1 1,260

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,14/1,2,5 9,620

5,9,14/2,3,5 22,540

3 PICK 1

A2

A3

A1 16.5

6TH DOUBLE

5/2 48

5/5 144.5