Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 2.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SHINING GEM Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 29.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 45.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | KILINDINI Led early TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 7 | 47.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 100.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 2 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ACE ONE B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 44.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | NOWITZKI L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 205.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LIVE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SHINING GEM second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 45.2% | 2.21 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 19.9% | 5.02 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | BRILLIANT WAY | 11.5% | 8.68 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS | 6.3% | 15.88 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | KILINDINI | 4.6% | 21.77 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DECRYPT | 3.1% | 32.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ACE ONE | 2.5% | 40.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 2.4% | 41.03 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 2.4% | 41.28 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.8% | 56.60 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | NOWITZKI | 0.3% | 354.57 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 23.5
PLACE
3 56
4 13
11 64
QUINELLA
3,4 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 98.5
3,11 416.5
4,11 142
FORECAST
4,3 418
TIERCE
4,3,11 4,770
TRIO
3,4,11 1,971
FIRST 4
1,3,4,11 4,731
QUARTET
4,3,11,1 51,056
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,14/3,4,11 58,684
9TH DOUBLE
4/3 391.5
4/4 429
SIX UP
2/5/5/7/4/4 2,947,289
2,6/5,9/2,5/7,10/4,14/3,4 32,418
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
7/4/3 15,789
7/4/4 11,973