Sha Tin · 2022-03-27 · 13:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR Wire to wire CP 1.34.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 4.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly B1/TT1 R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 2 | 9.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | E STAR TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT B/E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARITY GO SR C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-27 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MY SUGAR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with C P BRAVE second and E STAR third. The winner led throughout. The 1.7 favourite BEAUTY FIT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 36.0% | 2.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | MY SUGAR | 25.3% | 3.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 17.2% | 5.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 6.6% | 15.04 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 5.6% | 17.85 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | E STAR | 4.8% | 20.87 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 4.5% | 22.21 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 47.5
PLACE
2 14
4 21.5
8 22
QUINELLA
2,4 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 51
2,8 54
4,8 102.5
FORECAST
2,4 276
TIERCE
2,4,8 1,463
TRIO
2,4,8 431
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 834
QUARTET
2,4,8,7 12,324
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/2 349.5
8/4 101
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 24
A1 —