沙田 · 2022-04-03 · 15:11
第 5場
2022-04-03沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAKEWIN勝出，贏出2-1/4。RHAPSODY獲得亞軍；SPONTANEOUS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAKEWIN 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 2.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | RHAPSODY K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY FOREVER XB/CP1/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 3.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TUNG HAYE HAYE B1/XB1/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 5 | 241.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | SMART LEADER B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 13 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 50.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | ISLAND SHINE B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 76.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SUGAR SUGAR B/H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BALLISTIC MAN SR1/TT1 L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 8 | 136.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | IRON KING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 32.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | SHENZHOU TWELVE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 198.0 | 17-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HUNKY DORY A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAKEWIN | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY FOREVER | 22.7% | 4.41 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | RHAPSODY | 8.7% | 11.50 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | GALLANT WAKING | 8.4% | 11.89 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.1% | 24.22 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 4.1% | 24.58 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS | 3.7% | 27.27 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SMART LEADER | 3.7% | 27.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | IRON KING | 2.5% | 39.23 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | ISLAND SHINE | 2.0% | 49.33 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 1.5% | 66.17 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | BALLISTIC MAN | 1.2% | 80.65 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 0.6% | 156.85 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 23
PLACE
1 28.5
4 38.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
1,7 170
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 158.5
1,7 63.5
4,7 57
FORECAST
7,1 251
TIERCE
7,1,4 2,161
TRIO
1,4,7 503
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 1,503
QUARTET
7,1,4,6 21,723
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
9/1 98.5
9/7 292.5